What is Microsoft’s Next Move?
Friday, May 2nd, 2008Well as I sat there sipping a cold coke in Cyprus on a sun bed over looking the Mediterranean I contemplated all the big news that was occurring in the field of search engine marketing in my absence. With Microsoft’s deadline of the April 26 2008 for the purchase of Yahoo already passed I wondered whether the deal had gone ahead or whether Microsoft had acted on their hostile takeover threat. Either way I was assured something big would have happened in the search engine marketing arena.
So I was a little disappointed when I powered on my laptop to find out the deadline had passed without any action at all on Microsoft’s part. So what is going on, were Microsoft’s treats empty ones to the search engine firm.
This must look bad on Microsoft’s Chief Executive Officer Steve Ballmer because he has been pursuing the search engine firm for the last three months and with Yahoo forming closer ties with its rival search engine firm Google, than surely he has potentially lost his grip on the proposed purchase? However this does not appear to be the case as yesterday he was quoted as saying he would walk away from the purchase of the search engine before he overpays for Yahoo. Steve Ballmer told Microsoft staff that he would not pay “a dime” more than he thinks Yahoo is worth.
The Wall Street Journal reported that a hostile bid was still on the cards and that Microsoft will now target Yahoo’s shareholders directly. But if this is the case than I believe that Microsoft would have to seriously consider raising their original bid for the shares. Microsoft originally valued Yahoo at $31 a share, or around $44bn (£22.13bn), but after yesterday’s closing price it has made the offer lower at $29.48 a share ($42.8bn). Yahoo shares closed yesterday at $26.81. There appears to be some reflecting of uncertainty on Wall Street as to whether the Microsoft/Yahoo deal will proceed. But to me I feel that the search engine firm is just holding out for a higher offer, maybe around $35 a share, valuing the search engine company at almost $50bn. Who knows maybe the search engine firm will even go so far as to demand $40 a share.
If the merger was to occur it would give Microsoft a more competitive position against Google’s growing dominance in the area of online search. But if the merger is a hostile one than Microsoft may find it hard to hold onto Yahoo employees and that pool of talent could head Google’s way.
So we are still where we were three months ago, Microsoft may make another friendly deal with Yahoo by upping their bid, start hostile takeover fight to replace search engine firms board or simply give up and abandon the bid. Or in Steve Ballmers words “There’s the friendly deal, there’s an unfriendly deal, and the third path is simply to walk away. We ought to announce something in very short order.”
All we know is that Microsoft’s plans are imminent.
We are still waiting!?!
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